Why Terry McLaurin is overvalued in fantasy for the 2nd straight year
· Yahoo Sports
The fantasy market believes Terry McLaurin is still a safe fantasy starter. Here are three reasons why he isn't.
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McLaurin’s WR24 ADP is based on a few factors, including his past production and the return of Jayden Daniels. Additionally, this is one of the league’s most top-heavy passing attacks, with only rookie Antonio Williams (WR67) joining him in the top 125. That’s right: Luke McCaffrey (WR128) is way off the radar, and the TE corps comprised of Chig Okonkwo and Ben Sinnott is not enough to push McLaurin down.
But the fantasy market is ignoring a few other factors. The first is McLaurin’s advancing age. He’ll turn 31 in September. 30+ year-old WRs ranked inside the top 48 are the most likely age group to regress based on ADP (per my spreadsheet that covers all preseason top-50 WRs since 2012). There are reasons why advancing age matters.
Second, the Commanders could sign another wideout. If Stefon Diggs joins this unit, McLaurin might struggle to reach the top 30. It comes down to whether managers believe Daniels can feed two weekly-fantasy-starting WRs.
Third, both McLaurin and Daniels battled injuries last year. Can they both remain relatively healthy? Moreover, in their three games together, McLaurin averaged only 7.2 points. The locked-in chemistry that led to his 13-TD outburst in 2024 simply might not be the same two years later.
McLaurin’s ceiling is around the top 18-20 if things break nearly perfectly. His floor is around WR36. That makes him a likely bust at his current ADP.
For a deeper dive on the risks of drafting McLaurin, listen to this recent podcast episode.
This article originally appeared on Touchdown Wire: Why Terry McLaurin is overvalued in fantasy for the 2nd straight year